Sporting Ben Arous 1-0 Baath Bouhajla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.1pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.62/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.80
-57% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +66%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.3
POST-MATCH Sporting Ben Arous vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous edged past Baath Bouhajla 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Ben Arous as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Sporting Ben Arous vs Baath Bouhajla?

Sporting Ben Arous 1-0 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Ben Arous vs Baath Bouhajla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Ben Arous win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Ben Arous 47%, draw 27%, Baath Bouhajla 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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