Taffs Well 1-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Mar 2024

Taffs Well
1-2 HT 0-1
Caerau (Ely)
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taffs Well v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.56/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.64/1.69
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) edged past Taffs Well 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Taffs Well at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely)?

Taffs Well 1-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 44%, draw 22%, Caerau (Ely) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taffs Well) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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