Lüksemburg U21 1-1 Sırbistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan U21 EU Bookmakers 71%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.67/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.88
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sırbistan U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.11.2023 Sırbistan U21 Sırbistan U21 2-0 HT 2-0 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg U21
1-1
AWAY Sırbistan U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg U21 vs Sırbistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg U21 and Sırbistan U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sırbistan U21 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lüksemburg U21 had 47% of the ball to Sırbistan U21's 53%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg U21 vs Sırbistan U21?

Lüksemburg U21 1-1 Sırbistan U21 in the European U21 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg U21 vs Sırbistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sırbistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg U21 17%, draw 25%, Sırbistan U21 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sırbistan U21) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
22 Mar 2024
14:30 Belarus U21 vs Yunanistan U21 Analysis →
15:00 Azerbaycan U21 vs İngiltere U21 Analysis →
17:00 Karadağ U21 vs Ermenistan U21 Analysis →
19:00 Arnavutluk U21 vs Finlandiya U21 Analysis →
20:00 Slovenya U21 vs Bosna-Hersek U21 Analysis →
20:00 Almanya U21 vs Kosova U21 Analysis →