AFC Sudbury 1-0 Redditch United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Redditch United EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.63/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.47
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Redditch United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Redditch United Redditch United 1-2 HT 1-2 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
16.12.2023 Redditch United Redditch United 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
19.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-4 HT 0-3 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
1-0
AWAY Redditch United
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Redditch United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury edged past Redditch United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Sudbury as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 53% of the ball to Redditch United's 47%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Redditch United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.33 for Redditch United.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Redditch United?

AFC Sudbury 1-0 Redditch United in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Redditch United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 42%, draw 28%, Redditch United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
22 Mar 2025
18:00 Leek Town vs Ashton United Analysis →
18:00 Royston Town vs Stourbridge Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Biggleswade Town Analysis →
18:00 Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
18:00 Kettering Town vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
18:00 Bedford Town vs Stamford Analysis →