Basford United vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basford United v Workington — Team-Based Signals
Basford United vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Workington
İNGNLP
5-3
HT 2-0
Basford United
İNGNLP
Basford United 2-1 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
Basford United edged past Workington 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Basford United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Basford United had 59% of the ball to Workington's 41%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Workington led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basford United and 3.33 for Workington.
What was the final score of Basford United vs Workington?
Basford United 2-1 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basford United vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basford United 40%, draw 22%, Workington 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basford United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.