Antequera 1-3 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.64
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antequera EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.30
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
335 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antequera
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Algeciras
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
21.12.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 1-1 HT 0-1 Antequera Antequera İS3
20.04.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 2-3 HT 0-2 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.12.2023 Antequera Antequera 0-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
POST-MATCH Antequera vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras saw off Antequera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Antequera at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Antequera and 1.33 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Antequera vs Algeciras?

Antequera 1-3 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antequera vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antequera win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antequera 49%, draw 26%, Algeciras 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antequera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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