22/03/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Ceuta vs Hercules Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
34%
Draw
26%
20%
Away Win
21%
58%
Under 2.5
57%
42%
Over 2.5
43%
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
46%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Hercules — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ceuta
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hercules
EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-6%
1.84/0.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.99/1.43
+14%
/
+26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
-2%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
356 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.5
Ceuta vs Hercules Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ceuta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hercules
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
64%
Ball Possession
36%
8
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
2
4
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ceuta vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ceuta and Hercules couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Hercules?
Ceuta 1-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Hercules?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 46%, draw 34%, Hercules 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ceuta)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İS3
More Spain - 2nd Division B
22 Mar 2025