Fylkir vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fylkir v Valur — Team-Based Signals
Fylkir vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Fylkir
İZL
1-6
HT 0-4
Valur
İZL
0-6
HT 0-1
Valur
İZL
Fylkir 2-3 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
Valur nicked a narrow win over Fylkir 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Fylkir had 50% of the ball to Valur's 50%, shots finished 9-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fylkir and 3.67 for Valur.
What was the final score of Fylkir vs Valur?
Fylkir 2-3 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 28%, draw 24%, Valur 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.