Universidad Chile 3-0 Santiago Morning — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santiago Morning EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.33/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
-51% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +30%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
35.2 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Santiago Morning
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 1-3 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
31.07.2014 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 1-5 HT 1-3 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
31.05.2014 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-0 HT 3-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
3-0
AWAY Santiago Morning
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Santiago Morning
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile cruised past Santiago Morning 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 56% of the ball to Santiago Morning's 44%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Universidad Chile and 0.67 for Santiago Morning.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Santiago Morning?

Universidad Chile 3-0 Santiago Morning in the Chile - Cup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Santiago Morning?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 52%, draw 26%, Santiago Morning 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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