U. Catolica 0-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.23/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.60
-80% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 196
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
21.07.2024 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
23.03.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
10.12.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
21.05.2023 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
24.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 3-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
0-1
AWAY Union La Calera
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera squeezed past U. Catolica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, U. Catolica had 58% of the ball to Union La Calera's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for U. Catolica and 1.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

U. Catolica 0-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Cup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 43%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (U. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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