FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Mar 2025

FC Cincinnati
2-2 HT 0-0
Atlanta United
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
9%
8.58
X/X
11%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.7
2/2
11%
6.04
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.56/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.52
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.1 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
306 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
21.04.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
22.10.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-2 HT 2-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
31.08.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
14.08.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-2 HT 2-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.04.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD

FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-2
AWAY Atlanta United
0.86 xG 2.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
459 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 55% of the ball to Atlanta United's 45%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.86 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United?

FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 50%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5
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