Lehnerz 1-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Mar 2025

Lehnerz
1-2 HT 0-2
SGV Freiberg
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lehnerz v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.74
-20% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
2W-1D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.09.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-4 HT 0-2 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg nicked a narrow win over Lehnerz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day SGV Freiberg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lehnerz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lehnerz and 1.00 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Lehnerz 1-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 30%, draw 30%, SGV Freiberg 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Under 2.5
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