Lehnerz 1-0 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

Lehnerz
1-0 HT 1-0
SGV Freiberg
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lehnerz v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.23/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.69
+30% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-4 HT 0-2 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL

Lehnerz 1-0 SGV Freiberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lehnerz
1-0
AWAY SGV Freiberg
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz edged past SGV Freiberg 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Lehnerz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lehnerz had 44% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 56%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lehnerz and 1.50 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Lehnerz 1-0 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 38%, draw 32%, SGV Freiberg 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lehnerz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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