Western Knights 1-0 Balcatta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.0pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Knights EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Balcatta EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
0.49/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.92
-75% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Knights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Balcatta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.07.2024 Balcatta Balcatta 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Knights Western Knights AVUSB
06.04.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 2-1 HT 1-1 Balcatta Balcatta AVUSB
POST-MATCH Western Knights vs Balcatta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Knights nicked a narrow win over Balcatta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western Knights as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Western Knights and 1.00 for Balcatta.

What was the final score of Western Knights vs Balcatta?

Western Knights 1-0 Balcatta in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Knights vs Balcatta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Western Knights 44%, draw 28%, Balcatta 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Knights) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Knights) ✗ Over 2.5
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