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Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Central Coast Mariners (K) saw off Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 53% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.30 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 1.50 for Central Coast Mariners (K).
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 41%, draw 30%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.