USM El Harrach 2-1 AS Khroub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.95
No
53%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
USM El Harrach win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
30%
+17.4pp
53%
BTTS No
70%
-17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Khroub EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.39/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.46
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AS Khroub
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 AS Khroub AS Khroub 1-1 HT 0-1 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
30.03.2024 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 2-1 HT 0-0 AS Khroub AS Khroub CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
2-1
AWAY AS Khroub
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach nicked a narrow win over AS Khroub 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 72% of the ball to AS Khroub's 28%, shots finished 24-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for USM El Harrach and 1.00 for AS Khroub.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub?

USM El Harrach 2-1 AS Khroub in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 60%, draw 23%, AS Khroub 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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