Skive IK 1-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -20%
0.96/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.59
-27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 4-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
28.03.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-1 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
18.08.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
24.03.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
01.10.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
15.10.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 2-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
1-0
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK edged past Aarhus Fremad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Skive IK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Skive IK had 30% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 70%, shots finished 2-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Skive IK and 2.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Skive IK 1-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 36%, draw 25%, Aarhus Fremad 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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