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Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata (K) v Omiya Ardija (K) — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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0-0
HT 0-0
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Omiya Ardija (K)
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Albirex Niigata (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata (K) and Omiya Ardija (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 55% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 45%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 0.33 for Omiya Ardija (K).
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?
Albirex Niigata (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 52%, draw 33%, Omiya Ardija (K) 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), BTTS No went the other way.