Boyaca Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
41%
2.58
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
41%
Draw
36%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.8pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.07/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.78
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.4 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-0 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
09.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
21.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.02.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.04.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
03.10.2020 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
0-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.70 xG 1.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
382 Passes 228
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 11
40 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico and Deportivo Pasto fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Just as the model leaned, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 38%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.70 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.50 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

Boyaca Chico 0-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 30%, draw 41%, Deportivo Pasto 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →