Plateau United 2-1 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.88/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.56
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-1 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
30.05.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
13.01.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
2-1
AWAY Kano Pillars
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Kano Pillars 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plateau United had 55% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kano Pillars led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Plateau United and 1.00 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Kano Pillars?

Plateau United 2-1 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 50%, draw 29%, Kano Pillars 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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