Kano Pillars 2-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.35/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kano Pillars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Plateau United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.05.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
13.01.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars edged past Plateau United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kano Pillars as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kano Pillars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kano Pillars and 0.00 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Plateau United?

Kano Pillars 2-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 51%, draw 25%, Plateau United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kano Pillars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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