Ikorodu City 2-0 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
20%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
27%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
41%
Draw
32%
+9.7pp
20%
Away Win
31%
-11.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 34%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.56
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +145%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
2-0
AWAY Rivers United
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City saw off Rivers United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 41% / 20%) promised a tight game; Ikorodu City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 49% of the ball to Rivers United's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Rivers United?

Ikorodu City 2-0 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 39%, draw 41%, Rivers United 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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