Bayelsa United 1-1 Enyimba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
15%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Bayelsa United win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
49%
+14.2pp
22%
Draw
30%
-8.0pp
15%
Away Win
21%
-6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Enyimba EU Bookmakers 24%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.58/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.31
+21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Enyimba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
12.06.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayelsa United
1-1
AWAY Enyimba
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Enyimba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United and Enyimba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bayelsa United carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Bayelsa United had 48% of the ball to Enyimba's 52%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Enyimba?

Bayelsa United 1-1 Enyimba in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Enyimba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 63%, draw 22%, Enyimba 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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