Wisla Pulawy 1-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
58%
Away Win
58%
+0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.34
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +132%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
24.06.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-2 HT 1-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki HAZ
27.02.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 4-2 HT 3-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
18.08.2021 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-2 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki saw off Wisla Pulawy 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wisla Pulawy had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.50 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Wisla Pulawy 1-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 23%, draw 19%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5
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