Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 29%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
2.04/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.06
+28% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kalisz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 1-2 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0-1
AWAY Kalisz
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz edged past Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 58% of the ball to Kalisz's 42%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Kalisz?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%, draw 24%, Kalisz 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
22 Mar 2025
17:00 Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Analysis →
17:00 Swit Skolwin vs Jastrzebie Zdroj Analysis →