Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.2pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+14.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+87% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
10.11.2024 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 0-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK Bursa Nilüfer FK S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
1-2
AWAY Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor edged past Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 66% of the ball to Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor's 34%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 33%, draw 33%, Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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