İtalya U19 2-2 İspanya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
27%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.1pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
39%
-12.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
1.28/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.09
-78% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
23.9 Crosses 18.1
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U19
2W-0D-3L
AWAY İspanya U19
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.94 xG 1.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2024 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 0-1 HT 0-0 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 U19
13.07.2023 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 2-3 HT 0-0 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 U19
20.07.2019 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 2-1 HT 0-1 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 U19
16.01.2019 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 3-0 HT 1-0 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 HAZ
24.07.2010 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 3-0 HT 2-0 İtalya U19 İtalya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U19
2-2
AWAY İspanya U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya U19 vs İspanya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U19 and İspanya U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İtalya U19 had 43% of the ball to İspanya U19's 57%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İspanya U19 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for İtalya U19 and 1.60 for İspanya U19.

What was the final score of İtalya U19 vs İspanya U19?

İtalya U19 2-2 İspanya U19 in the European U19 on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U19 vs İspanya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İtalya U19 39%, draw 34%, İspanya U19 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya U19), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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