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Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leicester City WFC (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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Leicester City WFC (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa (K) nicked a narrow win over Leicester City WFC (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 35% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 65%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.85 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leicester City WFC (K) and 0.60 for Aston Villa (K).
What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Leicester City WFC (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 24%, draw 28%, Aston Villa (K) 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.