Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Palmas v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas found just enough to beat Sporting Gijon 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Las Palmas's favour, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Las Palmas against 0.33 for Sporting Gijon.
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Result & Final Score
Las Palmas 1 - 0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - LaLiga 2 on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 53%, draw 27%, Sporting Gijon 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.