Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Palmas v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Las Palmas
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS2
Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas edged past Sporting Gijon 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Las Palmas had 59% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 41%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Las Palmas and 0.33 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 52%, draw 26%, Sporting Gijon 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.