Burgos 4-0 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.57
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.25
6+
8%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.34
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
10%
6.34
X/X
18%
3.92
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.78
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.29
-10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.6 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Cordoba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.44 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2026 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
10.05.2025 Burgos Burgos 3-2 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
26.08.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
08.12.2001 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
4-0
AWAY Cordoba
1.76 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 15
225 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos ran out comfortable winners over Cordoba 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 42% of the ball to Cordoba's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.76 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burgos and 1.75 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Cordoba?

Burgos 4-0 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burgos 39%, draw 29%, Cordoba 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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