Cordoba 2-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.3
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.78
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
22%
4.37
X/2
13%
7.98
X/X
11%
3.72
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
9%
7.01
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.67/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
+30% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.0 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Burgos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Burgos Burgos 3-2 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
26.08.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
08.12.2001 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Burgos
2.35 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba saw off Burgos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cordoba had 55% of the ball to Burgos's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.35 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cordoba and 2.00 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Burgos?

Cordoba 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 45%, draw 25%, Burgos 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cordoba), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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