CD Castellon 4-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.88
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.0
X/1
23%
3.76
X/2
6%
12.9
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
26.5
2/2
5%
11.9
2/X
7%
20.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.9pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
2.12/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.33
+13% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.0 Crosses 13.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Huesca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 0.96
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
430 Passes 137
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
02.02.2025 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
24.11.2024 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
22.05.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-2 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
20.12.2009 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
31.01.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
4-1
AWAY Huesca
3.24 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
294 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon swept aside Huesca 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 45% of the ball to Huesca's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 3.24 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Castellon and 1.33 for Huesca.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Huesca?

CD Castellon 4-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 60%, draw 23%, Huesca 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ BTTS Yes
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