Valladolid 1-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.67
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
11%
7.9
X/X
9%
5.03
2/1
9%
23.55
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.51/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
+0% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
25.7 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Racing Santander
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
397 Passes 225
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
11.11.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-3 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
27.07.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
07.02.2015 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-4 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
07.09.2014 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
08.05.2010 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-1
AWAY Racing Santander
0.60 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
286 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 7
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid and Racing Santander couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valladolid at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 44% of the ball to Racing Santander's 56%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.60 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Racing Santander?

Valladolid 1-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 43%, draw 25%, Racing Santander 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valladolid), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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