Mirandes 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.87
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
11%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.61
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
17%
6.44
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
16%
4.15
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
13%
3.3
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.03
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.6 Crosses 22.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valladolid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 0-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
04.05.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
08.10.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
29.07.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
24.04.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
06.11.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
1.75 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
261 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes edged past Valladolid 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Mirandes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mirandes had 53% of the ball to Valladolid's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.75 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mirandes and 1.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Valladolid?

Mirandes 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 35%, draw 30%, Valladolid 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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