Valladolid 1-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.04
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
12%
3.87
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
10%
4.92
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.55
2/X
7%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.29
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.4 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
08.10.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
29.07.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
24.04.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
06.11.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.05.2017 Mirandes Mirandes 2-2 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-1
AWAY Mirandes
1.91 xG 0.71
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
402 Passes 155
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
40 Box Touches 15
54 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid and Mirandes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valladolid at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Valladolid had 70% of the ball to Mirandes's 30%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.91 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Mirandes?

Valladolid 1-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 56%, draw 22%, Mirandes 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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