CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
İS2
CD Castellon 3-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon got the better of Sporting Gijon 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, CD Castellon had 63% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 37%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.68 to 1.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Castellon and 1.00 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
CD Castellon 3-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 47%, draw 25%, Sporting Gijon 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.