Las Palmas 1-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.71
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
8%
7.83
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
6.56
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.34/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.66
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.5 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 Cadiz Cadiz HAZ
24.07.2025 Cadiz Cadiz 2-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
19.05.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.12.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.07.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
26.07.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-0
AWAY Cadiz
0.99 xG 0.43
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
467 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas nicked a narrow win over Cadiz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 61% of the ball to Cadiz's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Cadiz?

Las Palmas 1-0 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 47%, draw 26%, Cadiz 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5
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