Las Palmas 1-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.4
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
11%
5.14
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.5
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.66/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.49
-55% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 1.51
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
435 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.12.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.07.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
26.07.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
27.07.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-0 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz HAZ
08.02.2020 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-2
AWAY Cadiz
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz squeezed past Las Palmas 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Cadiz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 64% of the ball to Cadiz's 36%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Palmas and 0.67 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Cadiz?

Las Palmas 1-2 Cadiz in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 31%, draw 29%, Cadiz 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
24 Jul 2025
00:00 Cadiz vs Las Palmas Analysis →
00:00 Jong Sparta vs USV Hercules Analysis →
18:30 Monza vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
19:00 Palermo vs Sondrio Analysis →
20:00 Osijek vs HNK Cibalia Analysis →
21:00 Grosseto vs Fiorentina Analysis →