Monza 1-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 23%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
08.12.2019 Monza Monza 3-0 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
22.02.2015 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
1-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza nicked a narrow win over GIANA Erminio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Monza had 64% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 36%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Monza and 1.00 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Monza vs GIANA Erminio?

Monza 1-0 GIANA Erminio in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monza 51%, draw 25%, GIANA Erminio 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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