Palermo 4-0 Sondrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.11
Draw
16%
12.6
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
87%
-24.4pp
16%
Draw
6%
+9.8pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sondrio EU Bookmakers 9%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
508 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
4-0
AWAY Sondrio
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
18 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Sondrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo swept aside Sondrio 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Palermo had 69% of the ball to Sondrio's 31%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Sondrio?

Palermo 4-0 Sondrio in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Sondrio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Palermo 62%, draw 16%, Sondrio 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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