Jong Sparta 6-1 USV Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
40%
-12.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.8pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY USV Hercules EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
6-1
AWAY USV Hercules
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs USV Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta ran out comfortable winners over USV Hercules 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was USV Hercules at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 56% of the ball to USV Hercules's 44%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs USV Hercules?

Jong Sparta 6-1 USV Hercules in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs USV Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated an USV Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 28%, draw 28%, USV Hercules 44%. The final score 6-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USV Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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