Grosseto 0-3 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
12.23
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
55%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
5%
+18.5pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.2pp
55%
Away Win
88%
-32.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grosseto EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 94%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.17/5.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.04/1.06
+16% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -4%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grosseto
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 10
05.08.2024 Grosseto Grosseto 2-7 HT 1-5 Fiorentina Fiorentina HAZ
01.08.2023 Grosseto Grosseto 0-4 HT 0-2 Fiorentina Fiorentina HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grosseto
0-3
AWAY Fiorentina
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grosseto vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina swept aside Grosseto 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Grosseto had 39% of the ball to Fiorentina's 61%, shots finished 3-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grosseto and 5.50 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Grosseto vs Fiorentina?

Grosseto 0-3 Fiorentina in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grosseto vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Grosseto 23%, draw 22%, Fiorentina 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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