Osijek 1-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
09.05.2018 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 3-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
11.03.2018 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
18.11.2017 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
27.08.2017 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.05.2017 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
18.03.2017 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
POST-MATCH Osijek vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and HNK Cibalia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Osijek at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osijek and 1.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Osijek vs HNK Cibalia?

Osijek 1-1 HNK Cibalia in the Friendlies on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Osijek 61%, draw 19%, HNK Cibalia 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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