Racing Santander 3-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.44
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
21%
4.5
X/2
7%
8.36
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
10%
6.33
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.74/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.29
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.1 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 2-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.11.2024 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
05.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
01.10.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.02.2020 Malaga Malaga 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
3-0
AWAY Malaga
3.03 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
407 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander cruised past Malaga 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 57% of the ball to Malaga's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 3.03 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing Santander and 0.67 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Malaga?

Racing Santander 3-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 52%, draw 26%, Malaga 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5
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