Racing Santander 2-1 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Feb 2025

Racing Santander
2-1 HT 2-1
Malaga
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Santander vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 31% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
10%
9.89
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
7%
7.8
2/X
9%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Malaga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.41
-7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.7 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Racing Santander vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Malaga
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
05.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
01.10.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.02.2020 Malaga Malaga 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
09.04.2012 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1

Racing Santander 2-1 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-1
AWAY Malaga
1.92 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
247 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander squeezed past Malaga 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 45% of the ball to Malaga's 55%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Malaga?

Racing Santander 2-1 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 52%, draw 26%, Malaga 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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