Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Feb 2025

Almeria
1-1 HT 0-1
Real Oviedo
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Almeria vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.38
X/2
10%
8.37
X/X
15%
4.53
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
7%
6.72
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.7 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Almeria vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
350 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.10.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2 Almeria Almeria İS2
29.01.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
20.08.2021 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
01.05.2021 Almeria Almeria 2-2 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
30.11.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
16.01.2020 Almeria Almeria 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
1-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.85 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
352 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria and Real Oviedo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Almeria had 55% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 45%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Almeria and 1.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Real Oviedo?

Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almeria 49%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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