Sporting Gijon 2-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
12%
8.25
X/X
12%
3.76
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
7%
7.33
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.36
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.3 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Burgos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Burgos Burgos 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
25.02.2024 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
02.09.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
29.07.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 Burgos Burgos HAZ
19.03.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.08.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-0
AWAY Burgos
1.37 xG 0.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
293 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 5
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon beat Burgos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 48% of the ball to Burgos's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.37 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.50 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Burgos?

Sporting Gijon 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 48%, draw 28%, Burgos 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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