Burgos 0-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.14
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.73
X/2
12%
5.39
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.8
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.21/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
-9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.5 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
02.09.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
29.07.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 Burgos Burgos HAZ
19.03.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.08.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
03.04.2022 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.87 xG 1.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon saw off Burgos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Sporting Gijon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Burgos had 64% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 36%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.87 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Burgos and 0.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?

Burgos 0-2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burgos 39%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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