Racing Ferrol 1-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-2 HT 0-2
Racing Santander
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 36% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.69
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
12%
7.25
X/2
18%
4.32
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.75
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.8pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 50%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+57% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.7 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.00 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
29.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-3 HT 1-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
26.01.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
03.10.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
09.03.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
24.02.2002 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-2 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-2
AWAY Racing Santander
1.49 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
241 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander squeezed past Racing Ferrol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 50% of the ball to Racing Santander's 50%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.49 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.00 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander?

Racing Ferrol 1-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 33%, draw 25%, Racing Santander 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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