Cordoba 2-2 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
14%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
14%
6.77
X/X
10%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.54
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +28%
1.51/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.73
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.8 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-3 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
09.12.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
19.06.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
24.01.2010 Cordoba Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
07.03.2009 Cordoba Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
05.10.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
2-2
AWAY CD Castellon
1.52 xG 2.92
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
282 Passes 152
73% Pass Accuracy 54%
27 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba and CD Castellon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cordoba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cordoba had 59% of the ball to CD Castellon's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.52 to 2.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cordoba had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cordoba and 0.67 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs CD Castellon?

Cordoba 2-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 41%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
10 Nov 2024
18:15 Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander Analysis →
18:15 Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
20:30 Albacete vs Real Oviedo Analysis →